Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:00 • F. Ball Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.48) 1.87 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 22.6% 53.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gainsborough Trinity
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leek Town 0 4.9% 9.2% 8.6% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
1 5.6% 10.5% 9.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.2% 6.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeek TownGainsborough Trinity
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack47%60%
Defense60%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leek Town Gainsborough Trinity
HATHAT
Played131427131124
Wins38%29%33%38%55%46%
Draws15%21%19%38%18%29%
Loses46%50%48%23%27%25%

Form: Leek Town: LLWLDWWWLLLLDLWWDWLLLDLWDLW • Gainsborough Trinity: LWLWDWWWWLLWDDLDWDDLWWDW

League goals

Metric Leek Town Gainsborough Trinity
HATHAT
GF total181836121931
GF avg1.41.31.30.91.71.3
GA total172542111324
GA avg1.31.81.60.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeek TownGainsborough Trinity
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%85%79%50%
1.544%44%42%25%
2.519%19%8%17%
3.54%4%0%8%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeek TownGainsborough Trinity
HATHAT
Clean sheets3147512
Failed to score459415

Penalties

MetricLeek TownGainsborough Trinity
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLeek TownGainsborough Trinity
Wins34
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-11-44-2
Goals For4323
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricLeek TownGainsborough Trinity
Form41%59%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gainsborough Trinity

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Superbet
Away2.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leek Town = 1.14 (league 1.48), Gainsborough Trinity = 1.87 (league 1.18)

Gainsborough Trinity
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leek Town 0 4.9% 9.2% 8.6% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
1 5.6% 10.5% 9.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.2% 6.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 53.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1