Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • New Manor Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.48) 0.71 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.4% 27.4% 18.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Guiseley AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilkeston Town 0 12.0% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.9% 12.0% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIlkeston TownGuiseley AFC
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack31%15%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ilkeston Town Guiseley AFC
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins43%27%34%40%29%34%
Draws7%20%14%27%14%21%
Loses50%53%52%33%57%45%

Form: Ilkeston Town: WLWLLWLLLLWWWDWLLLLLDWDWLWDLL • Guiseley AFC: LWLWLDLWLWDLLLLDDWWWLLWWLDWLD

League goals

Metric Ilkeston Town Guiseley AFC
HATHAT
GF total22173923831
GF avg1.61.11.31.50.61.1
GA total202242221840
GA avg1.41.51.41.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIlkeston TownGuiseley AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%79%55%76%
1.541%41%24%38%
2.524%17%21%10%
3.510%3%7%10%
4.53%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIlkeston TownGuiseley AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets336347
Failed to score67134913

Penalties

MetricIlkeston TownGuiseley AFC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricIlkeston TownGuiseley AFC
Wins33
Draws12
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-44-01-3
Biggest losses0-35-01-54-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricIlkeston TownGuiseley AFC
Form44%56%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ilkeston Town or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ilkeston Town = 1.41 (league 1.48), Guiseley AFC = 0.71 (league 1.18)

Guiseley AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilkeston Town 0 12.0% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.9% 12.0% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.4% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 18.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1