Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Giant Axe Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.48) 1.10 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 26.1% 28.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Leek Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lancaster City 0 7.7% 8.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLancaster CityLeek Town
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack31%62%
Defense46%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lancaster City Leek Town
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%36%39%43%29%36%
Draws29%29%29%14%21%18%
Loses29%36%32%43%50%46%

Form: Lancaster City: LLWWDWWWWWDWDLDDLWWLLLDLWDDL • Leek Town: LLWLDWWWLLLLDLWWDWLLLDLWDLWW

League goals

Metric Lancaster City Leek Town
HATHAT
GF total171835191837
GF avg1.21.31.31.41.31.3
GA total141832172542
GA avg1.01.31.11.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLancaster CityLeek Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%68%82%
1.536%39%43%43%
2.521%11%18%18%
3.54%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLancaster CityLeek Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410415
Failed to score5510459

Penalties

MetricLancaster CityLeek Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLancaster CityLeek Town
Wins53
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-44-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-35-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricLancaster CityLeek Town
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leek Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Superbet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away3.35 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lancaster City = 1.46 (league 1.48), Leek Town = 1.10 (league 1.18)

Leek Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lancaster City 0 7.7% 8.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 28.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1