Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 15:00 •
Keys Park
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.45)
0.67 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.6% | 28.4% | 18.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Lancaster City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hednesford Town | 0 | 13.3% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Lancaster City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 16% | 32% |
| Defense | 63% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Lancaster City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 60% | 40% | 50% | 47% | 36% | 41% |
| Draws | 33% | 27% | 30% | 27% | 29% | 28% |
| Loses | 7% | 33% | 20% | 27% | 36% | 31% |
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Lancaster CityLLWWDWWWWWDWDLDDLWWLLLDLWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Lancaster City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 18 | 40 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 17 | 26 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hednesford Town | Lancaster City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 57% | 66% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 17% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 7% | 21% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Lancaster City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Lancaster City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Lancaster City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Lancaster City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.65 @ Bet365
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away4.78 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.82 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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