Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • New Manor Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.48) 1.43 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.5% 25.5% 39.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hebburn Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilkeston Town 0 6.4% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.5% 12.1% 8.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.0% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIlkeston TownHebburn Town
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack33%44%
Defense22%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ilkeston Town Hebburn Town
HATHAT
Played151631141630
Wins47%25%35%64%44%53%
Draws7%19%13%29%25%27%
Loses47%56%52%7%31%20%

Form: Ilkeston Town: WLWLLWLLLLWWWDWLLLLLDWDWLWDLLWL • Hebburn Town: LLLWWDDWWDLLDWWWWWWWWWLWWWDDDD

League goals

Metric Ilkeston Town Hebburn Town
HATHAT
GF total231841342155
GF avg1.51.11.32.41.31.8
GA total202545132033
GA avg1.31.61.50.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIlkeston TownHebburn Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%77%83%67%
1.539%42%50%20%
2.523%19%23%17%
3.510%3%10%7%
4.53%3%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIlkeston TownHebburn Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets4375510
Failed to score6713145

Penalties

MetricIlkeston TownHebburn Town
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricIlkeston TownHebburn Town
Wins39
Draws12
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-48-01-4
Biggest losses0-35-00-14-0
Goals For5484
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricIlkeston TownHebburn Town
Form36%64%
Att43%57%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h67%33%
Goals36%64%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hebburn Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ilkeston Town = 1.32 (league 1.48), Hebburn Town = 1.43 (league 1.18)

Hebburn Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilkeston Town 0 6.4% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.5% 12.1% 8.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.0% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.5% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 39.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1