Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Hurst Cross
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.48)
1.52 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.3% | 24.9% | 41.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Leek Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashton United | 0 | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ashton United | Leek Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 13% |
| Defense | 40% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ashton United | Leek Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 40% | 33% | 37% | 38% | 25% | 31% |
| Draws | 20% | 27% | 23% | 25% | 19% | 22% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 38% | 56% | 47% |
Form: Ashton United: WDWLDWDDLLWWLLWLWLLWDDWLWLLWLD • Leek Town: LLWLDWWWLLLLDLWWDWLLLDLWDLWWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Ashton United | Leek Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 18 | 35 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 23 | 18 | 41 | 17 | 29 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ashton United | Leek Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 73% | 63% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 33% | 38% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 16% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ashton United | Leek Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ashton United | Leek Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ashton United | Leek Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ashton United | Leek Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Leek Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ashton United = 1.34 (league 1.48), Leek Town = 1.52 (league 1.18)
| Leek Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashton United | 0 | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 41.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1