Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Hurst Cross
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.46)
1.33 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.3% | 25.5% | 34.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Workington | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashton United | 0 | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ashton United | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 40% | 47% |
| Defense | 60% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ashton United | Workington | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 39% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Draws | 22% | 28% | 25% | 28% | 39% | 33% |
| Loses | 39% | 39% | 39% | 39% | 44% | 42% |
Form: Ashton United: WDWLDWDDLLWWLLWLWLLWDDWLWLLWLDLDWDLW • Workington: LLLLDLWDLDLLLWWDLDDLLLDDDLDWDWWDWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Ashton United | Workington | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 22 | 41 | 18 | 20 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 25 | 23 | 48 | 17 | 35 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ashton United | Workington | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 75% | 69% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 25% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 17% | 11% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ashton United | Workington | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ashton United | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ashton United | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ashton United | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Workington
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ashton United = 1.43 (league 1.46), Workington = 1.33 (league 1.16)
| Workington | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashton United | 0 | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 34.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1