Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:00 • Giant Axe Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.46) 1.17 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.1% 28.8% 38.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Gainsborough Trinity
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lancaster City 0 10.6% 12.4% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLancaster CityGainsborough Trinity
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack80%30%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lancaster City Gainsborough Trinity
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins44%37%41%42%44%43%
Draws28%26%27%37%22%30%
Loses28%37%32%21%33%27%

Form: Lancaster City: LLWWDWWWWWDWDLDDLWWLLLDLWDDLWLWLWDLWD • Gainsborough Trinity: LWLWDWWWWLLWDDLDWDDLWWDWLWDWDWLWDLDLW

League goals

Metric Lancaster City Gainsborough Trinity
HATHAT
GF total232750212748
GF avg1.31.41.41.11.51.3
GA total172744162137
GA avg0.91.41.20.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLancaster CityGainsborough Trinity
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%65%76%59%
1.538%38%43%22%
2.524%14%11%14%
3.55%3%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLancaster CityGainsborough Trinity
HATHAT
Clean sheets851310515
Failed to score6612639

Penalties

MetricLancaster CityGainsborough Trinity
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLancaster CityGainsborough Trinity
Wins54
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-42-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-44-2
Goals For3433
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricLancaster CityGainsborough Trinity
Form62%38%
Att73%27%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lancaster City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betano
No1.90 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lancaster City = 1.07 (league 1.46), Gainsborough Trinity = 1.17 (league 1.15)

Gainsborough Trinity
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lancaster City 0 10.6% 12.4% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 38.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1