Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Project Solar UK Stadium
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.45)
1.69 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.5% | 23.3% | 41.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Gainsborough Trinity | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hyde United | 0 | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Gainsborough Trinity carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hyde United +48.7, Gainsborough Trinity -35.5.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Hyde United
vs
Gainsborough Trinity
Elo gapGainsborough Trinity +23
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo3005.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3005.9
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Hyde United | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1473.8 | 1532.1 |
| Form Elo | 1484.9 | 1505.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1485.8 | 1548.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1492.2 | 1509.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1456.5 | 1566.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +48.7 | -35.5 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Hyde United last-5 Elo change: +48.7; Gainsborough Trinity last-5 Elo change: -35.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hyde United | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 64% | 27% |
| Defense | 82% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hyde United | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 20 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 37% | 15% | 26% | 40% | 42% | 41% |
| Draws | 32% | 40% | 36% | 35% | 21% | 28% |
| Loses | 32% | 45% | 38% | 25% | 37% | 31% |
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Gainsborough TrinityLWLWDWWWWLLWDDLDWDDLWWDWLWDWDWLWDLDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Hyde United | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 23 | 55 | 22 | 27 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 26 | 36 | 62 | 18 | 24 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hyde United | Gainsborough Trinity | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 74% | 74% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 56% | 41% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 21% | 10% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 8% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hyde United | Gainsborough Trinity | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hyde United | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hyde United | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hyde United | Gainsborough Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.47 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.13 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
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