Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
The Energy Check Sports Ground
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.45)
0.69 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.7% | 16.0% | 8.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
11.0%
3 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Rushall Olympic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hebburn Town | 0 | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Hebburn Town carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 197 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hebburn Town +31.8, Rushall Olympic +19.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Hebburn Town
vs
Rushall Olympic
Elo gapHebburn Town +197
Home / draw / away62% / 18% / 20%
Expected home share76%
Combined Elo3079.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3079.7
Elo home share
76%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Hebburn Town | Rushall Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1620.7 | 1459 |
| Form Elo | 1640 | 1471.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1562.2 | 1475 |
| Attack Elo | 1659.1 | 1484.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1567.9 | 1396.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +31.8 | +19.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Hebburn Town last-5 Elo change: +31.8; Rushall Olympic last-5 Elo change: +19.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hebburn Town | Rushall Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 82% |
| Defense | 64% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hebburn Town | Rushall Olympic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 20 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 68% | 45% | 56% | 30% | 32% | 31% |
| Draws | 26% | 25% | 26% | 30% | 26% | 28% |
| Loses | 5% | 30% | 18% | 40% | 42% | 41% |
Hebburn TownLLLWWDDWWDLLDWWWWWWWWWLWWWDDDDLWWDDWWWW
Rushall OlympicDWWWDDLDLLWLLLWDDLLLWLWLWLLWDDLDDDLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Hebburn Town | Rushall Olympic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 44 | 29 | 73 | 29 | 19 | 48 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 15 | 26 | 41 | 31 | 28 | 59 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hebburn Town | Rushall Olympic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 64% | 74% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 21% | 31% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 15% | 10% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hebburn Town | Rushall Olympic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hebburn Town | Rushall Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 66.67% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 33.33% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hebburn Town | Rushall Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hebburn Town | Rushall Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.26 @ Betano
Draw6.19 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.03 @ 1xBet
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
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