Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 •
The Lamb Ground
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.68)
0.31 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.2% | 20.1% | 5.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.1%
2 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Burnley U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tamworth | 0 | 12.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tamworth | Burnley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Attack | 15% | 8% |
| Defense | 92% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tamworth | Burnley U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | — | 100% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | — | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | — | 0% | — | 100% | 100% |
Form: Tamworth: W • Burnley U21: LL
League goals
| Metric | Tamworth | Burnley U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tamworth | Burnley U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tamworth | Burnley U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tamworth | Burnley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tamworth | Burnley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tamworth | Burnley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Tamworth or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 1.78 (league 1.68), Burnley U21 = 0.31 (league 1.63)
| Burnley U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tamworth | 0 | 12.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.2% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 5.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1