Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:00 • VBS Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.84) 6.79 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.2% 3.2% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 5
3.8%
2 - 5
3.7%
1 - 4
2.8%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sutton Utd 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 2.0%
1 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.7% 2.8% 3.8%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.6% 2.7% 3.7%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSutton UtdSouthampton U21
Played33
Form0%33%
Attack24%41%
Defense24%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.37 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 4.38 | 2.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

93%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sutton Utd Southampton U21
HATHAT
Played303033
Wins0%—0%—33%33%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses100%—100%—67%67%

Form: Sutton Utd: LLL • Southampton U21: LLW

League goals

Metric Sutton Utd Southampton U21
HATHAT
GF total404077
GF avg1.30.01.30.02.32.3
GA total13013088
GA avg4.30.04.30.02.72.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSutton UtdSouthampton U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%100%100%
1.533%100%67%100%
2.533%67%33%67%
3.50%67%33%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSutton UtdSouthampton U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricSutton UtdSouthampton U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSutton UtdSouthampton U21
Wins00
Draws00
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———3-4
Biggest losses0-7——3-2
Goals For3004
Goals Against7003

Model comparison

MetricSutton UtdSouthampton U21
Form0%100%
Att36%64%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Southampton U21 and +3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Pinnacle
No2.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sutton Utd = 1.91 (league 1.84), Southampton U21 = 6.79 (league 1.46)

Southampton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sutton Utd 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 2.0%
1 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.7% 2.8% 3.8%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.6% 2.7% 3.7%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.2% · Draw 3.2% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1