Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 17:30 • Makhulong Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.11) 0.53 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 46.1% 28.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.2%
0 - 1
19.1%
1 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sekhukhune United 0 36.2% 19.1% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.7% 9.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSekhukhune UnitedMamelodi Sundowns
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack33%100%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sekhukhune United Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Played87157714
Wins38%57%47%86%29%57%
Draws50%14%33%14%57%36%
Loses13%29%20%0%14%7%

Form: Sekhukhune United: WWWDWWWDLLDDWLD • Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDWLWDWDW

League goals

Metric Sekhukhune United Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
GF total791616622
GF avg0.91.31.12.30.91.6
GA total448347
GA avg0.50.60.50.40.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSekhukhune UnitedMamelodi Sundowns
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%53%86%50%
1.520%0%43%0%
2.513%0%21%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSekhukhune UnitedMamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricSekhukhune UnitedMamelodi Sundowns
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSekhukhune UnitedMamelodi Sundowns
Wins32
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-11-0—1-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricSekhukhune UnitedMamelodi Sundowns
Form35%65%
Att25%75%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mamelodi Sundowns and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 10Bet
Away1.73 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.59 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sekhukhune United = 0.49 (league 1.11), Mamelodi Sundowns = 0.53 (league 0.85)

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sekhukhune United 0 36.2% 19.1% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.7% 9.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 46.1% · Away win 28.3%

vtt 5 , vtd1