Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:30 • Loftus Versfeld Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.16) 1.00 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 23.0% 20.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Orlando Pirates
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 6.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.9% 10.9% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.9% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMamelodi SundownsOrlando Pirates
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack100%80%
Defense60%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.80 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns Orlando Pirates
HATHAT
Played4610538
Wins100%33%60%80%67%75%
Draws0%50%30%0%0%0%
Loses0%17%10%20%33%25%

Form: Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDWLW • Orlando Pirates: LLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns Orlando Pirates
HATHAT
GF total125175510
GF avg3.00.81.71.01.71.3
GA total235123
GA avg0.50.50.50.20.70.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMamelodi SundownsOrlando Pirates
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%50%88%25%
1.550%0%25%13%
2.530%0%13%0%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMamelodi SundownsOrlando Pirates
HATHAT
Clean sheets235426
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricMamelodi SundownsOrlando Pirates
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMamelodi SundownsOrlando Pirates
Wins20
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-00-3
Biggest losses—1-00-12-1
Goals For4223
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricMamelodi SundownsOrlando Pirates
Form40%60%
Att58%42%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h38%62%
Goals53%47%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Orlando Pirates

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw2.90 @ 188Bet
Away4.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mamelodi Sundowns = 1.81 (league 1.16), Orlando Pirates = 1.00 (league 0.85)

Orlando Pirates
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 6.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.9% 10.9% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.9% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 20.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1