Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 17:30 • Loftus Versfeld Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.91 (league 1.16) 1.06 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.6% 14.1% 10.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
TS Galaxy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.2% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMamelodi SundownsTS Galaxy
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack75%58%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns TS Galaxy
HATHAT
Played56114610
Wins80%33%55%75%33%50%
Draws20%50%36%0%17%10%
Loses0%17%9%25%50%40%

Form: Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDWLWD • TS Galaxy: LLWWWDWLLW

League goals

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns TS Galaxy
HATHAT
GF total135187916
GF avg2.60.81.61.81.51.6
GA total3363811
GA avg0.60.50.50.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMamelodi SundownsTS Galaxy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%55%70%80%
1.545%0%50%30%
2.527%0%30%0%
3.59%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMamelodi SundownsTS Galaxy
HATHAT
Clean sheets235202
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricMamelodi SundownsTS Galaxy
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMamelodi SundownsTS Galaxy
Wins23
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-11-4
Biggest losses—1-00-22-0
Goals For4234
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricMamelodi SundownsTS Galaxy
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Mamelodi Sundowns or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 10Bet
Draw5.06 @ Pinnacle
Away13.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Bet365
No1.44 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mamelodi Sundowns = 2.91 (league 1.16), TS Galaxy = 1.06 (league 0.85)

TS Galaxy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.2% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.6% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 10.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1