Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 17:30 • Free State Toyota Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.15) 0.38 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 56.4% 24.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
50.3%
0 - 1
19.2%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siwelele 0 50.3% 19.2% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.3% 5.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSiweleleMamelodi Sundowns
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack50%100%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Siwelele Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Played77146612
Wins43%14%29%83%33%58%
Draws29%14%21%17%50%33%
Loses29%71%50%0%17%8%

Form: Siwelele: WLLLDLLLWDWWLD • Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDWLWDW

League goals

Metric Siwelele Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
GF total52714519
GF avg0.70.30.52.30.81.6
GA total3912336
GA avg0.41.30.90.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSiweleleMamelodi Sundowns
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%57%83%50%
1.514%29%42%0%
2.57%0%25%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSiweleleMamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Clean sheets426336
Failed to score4610022

Penalties

MetricSiweleleMamelodi Sundowns
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSiweleleMamelodi Sundowns
Wins22
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-0—1-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricSiweleleMamelodi Sundowns
Form44%56%
Att25%75%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mamelodi Sundowns and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away1.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.44 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Siwelele = 0.30 (league 1.15), Mamelodi Sundowns = 0.38 (league 0.84)

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siwelele 0 50.3% 19.2% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.3% 5.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 56.4% · Away win 24.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2