Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 17:30 • Orlando Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.11) 0.12 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 48.8% 5.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
45.1%
1 - 0
30.6%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orlando Pirates 0 45.1% 5.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.6% 3.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrlando PiratesMamelodi Sundowns
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack90%70%
Defense100%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orlando Pirates Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Played88167815
Wins88%63%75%86%38%60%
Draws0%25%13%14%50%33%
Loses13%13%13%0%13%7%

Form: Orlando Pirates: LLWWWWWWDWWWDWWW • Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDWLWDWDWW

League goals

Metric Orlando Pirates Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
GF total12132516824
GF avg1.51.61.62.31.01.6
GA total145347
GA avg0.10.50.30.40.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrlando PiratesMamelodi Sundowns
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%25%87%47%
1.550%6%47%0%
2.519%0%20%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrlando PiratesMamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512448
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricOrlando PiratesMamelodi Sundowns
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricOrlando PiratesMamelodi Sundowns
Wins62
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-1—1-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricOrlando PiratesMamelodi Sundowns
Form54%46%
Att56%44%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Orlando Pirates or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.72 @ 10Bet
Away3.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.41 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ William Hill
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orlando Pirates = 0.68 (league 1.11), Mamelodi Sundowns = 0.12 (league 0.85)

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orlando Pirates 0 45.1% 5.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.6% 3.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 48.8% · Away win 5.8%

vtt 10 , vtd2