Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 17:30 • Free State Toyota Stadium
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.11) 0.46 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.8% 53.7% 29.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
47.2%
0 - 1
21.8%
1 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Kaizer Chiefs
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siwelele 0 47.2% 21.8% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.6% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSiweleleKaizer Chiefs
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack20%60%
Defense60%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

34%
FT probability

2.5+

24%
FT probability

3.5+

17%
FT probability

BTTS

41%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Siwelele Kaizer Chiefs
HATHAT
Played89179615
Wins38%11%24%44%67%53%
Draws38%33%35%44%33%40%
Loses25%56%41%11%0%7%

Form: Siwelele: WLLLDLLLWDWWLDDDD • Kaizer Chiefs: WWWDWLDDDWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Siwelele Kaizer Chiefs
HATHAT
GF total63910515
GF avg0.80.30.51.10.81.0
GA total41014606
GA avg0.51.10.80.70.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSiweleleKaizer Chiefs
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.535%59%73%27%
1.512%24%13%7%
2.56%0%7%7%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSiweleleKaizer Chiefs
HATHAT
Clean sheets4375611
Failed to score4711224

Penalties

MetricSiweleleKaizer Chiefs
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSiweleleKaizer Chiefs
Wins23
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-01-3—
Goals For3242
Goals Against1230

Model comparison

MetricSiweleleKaizer Chiefs
Form27%73%
Att25%75%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total30.5%69.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kaizer Chiefs and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Betano
Away2.26 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Siwelele = 0.29 (league 1.11), Kaizer Chiefs = 0.46 (league 0.86)

Kaizer Chiefs
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siwelele 0 47.2% 21.8% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.6% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 53.7% · Away win 29.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1