Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 17:30 • Princess Magogo Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.11) 1.04 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 32.8% 43.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.2%
0 - 0
17.5%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amazulu 0 17.5% 18.2% 9.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.2% 12.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmazuluMamelodi Sundowns
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack50%80%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amazulu Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Played89177916
Wins75%33%53%86%44%63%
Draws0%33%18%14%44%31%
Loses25%33%29%0%11%6%

Form: Amazulu: WLWDDWLDWWLWLWWWL • Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDWLWDWDWWW

League goals

Metric Amazulu Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
GF total10919161026
GF avg1.31.01.12.31.11.6
GA total61016358
GA avg0.81.10.90.40.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmazuluMamelodi Sundowns
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%59%88%50%
1.524%29%50%0%
2.512%6%19%0%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmazuluMamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Clean sheets437448
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricAmazuluMamelodi Sundowns
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAmazuluMamelodi Sundowns
Wins32
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-1—1-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricAmazuluMamelodi Sundowns
Form41%59%
Att38%62%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total35.5%64.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mamelodi Sundowns and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.90 @ 10Bet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Amazulu = 0.70 (league 1.11), Mamelodi Sundowns = 1.04 (league 0.84)

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amazulu 0 17.5% 18.2% 9.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.2% 12.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 43.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1