Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 17:30 •
Loftus Versfeld Stadium
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.15)
0.41 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.9% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.9%
3 - 0
14.8%
4 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Marumo Gallants | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.8% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 44% |
| Defense | 67% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 89% | 55% | 70% | 20% | 18% | 19% |
| Draws | 11% | 36% | 25% | 40% | 18% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 9% | 5% | 40% | 64% | 52% |
Mamelodi SundownsDWWDWWDWLWDWDWWWWWWW
Marumo GallantsWWLLDDDDLWLLDDLLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 13 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 50% | 52% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 0% | 19% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 5% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 76.3% | 23.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.24 @ Unibet
Draw6.36 @ Pinnacle
Away17.50 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.97 @ 188Bet
No1.45 @ Betfair
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League standings
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