Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Old Peter Mokaba Stadium
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.15)
0.64 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.9% | 39.3% | 28.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.2%
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 1
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Stellenbosch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Polokwane City | 0 | 26.2% | 16.9% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.2% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Polokwane City +8.5, Stellenbosch +17.3.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Polokwane City
vs
Stellenbosch
Elo gapStellenbosch +11
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3017.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3017.7
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Polokwane City | Stellenbosch |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1485.9 | 1531.8 |
| Form Elo | 1489.9 | 1549.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1479.6 | 1494.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1372.3 | 1425.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1586.4 | 1557.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.5 | +17.3 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Polokwane City last-5 Elo change: +8.5; Stellenbosch last-5 Elo change: +17.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Polokwane City | Stellenbosch |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 30% | 80% |
| Defense | 70% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Polokwane City | Stellenbosch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 25% | 42% | 33% | 38% | 25% | 32% |
| Draws | 58% | 25% | 42% | 23% | 42% | 32% |
| Loses | 17% | 33% | 25% | 38% | 33% | 36% |
Polokwane CityDLWDDWWLWLDWDWLDDWLDLWDD
StellenboschLDLWLLLDDWLLWLWDWWDDDWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Polokwane City | Stellenbosch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Polokwane City | Stellenbosch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 58% | 64% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 8% | 20% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Polokwane City | Stellenbosch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Polokwane City | Stellenbosch |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Polokwane City | Stellenbosch |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Polokwane City | Stellenbosch |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.00 @ William Hill
Draw2.75 @ Unibet
Away3.05 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.53 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…