Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Sportplatz Buschweilerhof
Expected Goals
4.56 (league 1.53)
2.70 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.5% | 11.4% | 14.4% |
best score tips
4 - 2
4.6%
5 - 2
4.2%
4 - 3
4.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Concordia Basel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Black Stars | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Black Stars | Concordia Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 75% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
63%
FT probability
BTTS
94%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Black Stars | Concordia Basel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 43% | 75% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 50% | 17% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Black Stars: WWWDDLL • Concordia Basel: LWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Black Stars | Concordia Basel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Black Stars | Concordia Basel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 57% | 83% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 14% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Black Stars | Concordia Basel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Black Stars | Concordia Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Black Stars | Concordia Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-2 | 5-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-2 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Black Stars | Concordia Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Concordia Basel and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Black Stars = 4.56 (league 1.53), Concordia Basel = 2.70 (league 1.48)
| Concordia Basel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Black Stars | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 14.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1