Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportanlage Stapfen
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.67)
2.01 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.7% | 21.6% | 51.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
9.5%
0 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Amical Saint-Prex | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Naters | 0 | 3.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Amical Saint-Prex carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 84 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Naters -1.9, Amical Saint-Prex -10.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Naters
vs
Amical Saint-Prex
Elo gapAmical Saint-Prex +84
Home / draw / away30% / 20% / 50%
Expected home share38%
Combined Elo3087.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3087.3
Elo home share
38%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Naters | Amical Saint-Prex |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1484 | 1603.3 |
| Form Elo | 1477.1 | 1611.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1483.8 | 1527.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1540.1 | 1672.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1465.7 | 1532.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.9 | -10.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Naters last-5 Elo change: -1.9; Amical Saint-Prex last-5 Elo change: -10.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Naters | Amical Saint-Prex |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 30% | 50% |
| Defense | 45% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Naters | Amical Saint-Prex | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 29% | 82% | 50% | 65% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 9% | 0% | 4% |
| Loses | 42% | 33% | 38% | 9% | 50% | 30% |
NatersDWWWLWWDDDDLLLLWDLLWDDLL
Amical Saint-PrexLWWLWWWLDLWLWWWWWWWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Naters | Amical Saint-Prex | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 18 | 38 | 29 | 22 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 20 | 21 | 41 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Naters | Amical Saint-Prex | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 79% | 87% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 58% | 52% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 25% | 39% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 26% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 17% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Naters | Amical Saint-Prex | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Naters | Amical Saint-Prex |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Naters | Amical Saint-Prex |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Naters | Amical Saint-Prex |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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