Lancy vs Servette II

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 — Switzerland

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 • Stade de Marignac

Not Started

Lancy

—

Servette II

Expected Goals

1.70 (league 1.67) 1.75 (league 1.52)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
37.0%	22.4%	38.8%

best score tips

1 - 1

9.4%

1 - 2

8.3%

2 - 1

8.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Servette II
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Lancy	0	3.2%	5.5%	4.8%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
	1	5.4%	9.4%	8.3%	4.8%	2.1%	0.7%
	2	4.6%	8.0%	7.0%	4.1%	1.8%	0.6%
	3	2.6%	4.6%	4.0%	2.3%	1.0%	0.4%
	4	1.1%	1.9%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.2%
	5	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Lancy -24.4, Servette II -7.2.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Lancy Elo 1482.2 · -24.4

Servette II Elo 1527.5 · -7.2

Elo gapServette II +10

Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%

Expected home share49%

Combined Elo3009.7

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3009.7

Elo home share 49%

Match tone Strong Watch

Metric	Lancy	Servette II
Overall Elo	1482.2	1527.5
Form Elo	1471.4	1517.4
Home / Away Elo	1504.9	1496.2
Attack Elo	1537.4	1633.1
Defense Elo	1433.7	1480.8
Last 5 Elo change	-24.4	-7.2

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Lancy last-5 Elo change: -24.4; Servette II last-5 Elo change: -7.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Lancy	Servette II
Played	5	5
Form	20%	80%
Attack	35%	90%
Defense	55%	75%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	18 \| 3.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

69%

FT probability

3.5+

49%

FT probability

BTTS

78%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Lancy			Servette II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	11	24	13	11	24
Wins	46%	27%	38%	85%	36%	63%
Draws	15%	27%	21%	8%	18%	13%
Loses	38%	45%	42%	8%	45%	25%

LancyLWLLWDDWWLWWLLWWLLWLDDLD

Servette IIWWWWDDLWDWLWWWWLLWLWWLWW

League goals

Metric	Lancy			Servette II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	25	14	39	41	21	62
GF avg	1.9	1.3	1.6	3.2	1.9	2.6
GA total	18	24	42	7	17	24
GA avg	1.4	2.2	1.8	0.5	1.5	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Lancy		Servette II
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	75%	88%	71%
1.5	50%	42%	71%	21%
2.5	25%	21%	38%	8%
3.5	8%	13%	29%	0%
4.5	4%	8%	21%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Lancy			Servette II
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	4	6	6	1	7
Failed to score	2	5	7	1	2	3

Penalties

Metric	Lancy	Servette II
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Lancy	Servette II
Wins	2	4
Draws	2	2
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	6-1	1-4	7-0	1-6
Biggest losses	3-4	7-0	0-1	3-2
Goals For	6	4	7	6
Goals Against	4	7	1	3

Model comparison

Metric	Lancy	Servette II
Form	20%	80%
Att	28%	72%
Def	36%	64%
Poisson Distribution	51%	49%
H2h	36%	64%
Goals	31%	69%
Total	33.7%	66.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Lancy vs Servette II

Metric	Lancy	Servette II
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0