Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 • Stade des 3 Sapins
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.67) 1.54 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.3% 24.5% 40.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
8.8%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Prishtina Bern
0 1 2 3 4 5
Echallens 0 5.3% 8.2% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.4% 11.4% 8.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Echallens +7.7, Prishtina Bern +5.8.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Echallens Elo 1517.5 · +7.7
vs
Prishtina Bern Elo 1565.5 · +5.8
Elo gapPrishtina Bern +13
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3083
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3083
Elo home share 48%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Echallens Prishtina Bern
Overall Elo1517.51565.5
Form Elo1515.31569.2
Home / Away Elo1499.21521
Attack Elo1594.71612.3
Defense Elo1463.31475.3
Last 5 Elo change+7.7+5.8

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Echallens last-5 Elo change: +7.7; Prishtina Bern last-5 Elo change: +5.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEchallensPrishtina Bern
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack35%50%
Defense65%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Echallens Prishtina Bern
HATHAT
Played131124121224
Wins38%45%42%67%42%54%
Draws15%18%17%25%17%21%
Loses46%36%42%8%42%25%
EchallensWLLWWDLLDDWDLWLWWLLLWLWW
Prishtina BernWWWLWLDWWDDWWLLWWLWLWWDD

League goals

Metric Echallens Prishtina Bern
HATHAT
GF total231841311546
GF avg1.81.61.72.61.31.9
GA total241943161632
GA avg1.81.71.81.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEchallensPrishtina Bern
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%88%92%71%
1.554%50%54%42%
2.517%29%21%13%
3.54%13%13%8%
4.54%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEchallensPrishtina Bern
HATHAT
Clean sheets213347
Failed to score314022

Penalties

MetricEchallensPrishtina Bern
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEchallensPrishtina Bern
Wins23
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-21-35-10-3
Biggest losses1-44-22-44-1
Goals For7353
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricEchallensPrishtina Bern
Form53%47%
Att41%59%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.0%52.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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