Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Stade des 3 Sapins
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.67)
1.54 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.3% | 24.5% | 40.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
8.8%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Prishtina Bern | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Echallens | 0 | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Echallens +7.7, Prishtina Bern +5.8.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Echallens
vs
Prishtina Bern
Elo gapPrishtina Bern +13
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3083
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3083
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Echallens | Prishtina Bern |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1517.5 | 1565.5 |
| Form Elo | 1515.3 | 1569.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1499.2 | 1521 |
| Attack Elo | 1594.7 | 1612.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1463.3 | 1475.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +7.7 | +5.8 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Echallens last-5 Elo change: +7.7; Prishtina Bern last-5 Elo change: +5.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Echallens | Prishtina Bern |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 35% | 50% |
| Defense | 65% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Echallens | Prishtina Bern | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 11 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 38% | 45% | 42% | 67% | 42% | 54% |
| Draws | 15% | 18% | 17% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Loses | 46% | 36% | 42% | 8% | 42% | 25% |
EchallensWLLWWDLLDDWDLWLWWLLLWLWW
Prishtina BernWWWLWLDWWDDWWLLWWLWLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Echallens | Prishtina Bern | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 15 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 24 | 19 | 43 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Echallens | Prishtina Bern | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 88% | 92% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 50% | 54% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 29% | 21% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 13% | 13% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Echallens | Prishtina Bern | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Echallens | Prishtina Bern |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Echallens | Prishtina Bern |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-2 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Echallens | Prishtina Bern |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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