Sun, May 3 2026 • 12:00 •
Terrain de La Sarraz
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.68)
2.45 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.2% | 18.1% | 60.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 2
7.7%
1 - 3
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Stade Payerne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Sarraz-Eclépens | 0 | 2.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
La Sarraz-Eclépens carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: La Sarraz-Eclépens -2.6, Stade Payerne -10.4.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
La Sarraz-Eclépens
vs
Stade Payerne
Elo gapLa Sarraz-Eclépens +57
Home / draw / away44% / 23% / 33%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2887.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2887.7
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | La Sarraz-Eclépens | Stade Payerne |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1454.9 | 1432.8 |
| Form Elo | 1456.2 | 1415.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1457.7 | 1495.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1504.7 | 1431.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1391.4 | 1445.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.6 | -10.4 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. La Sarraz-Eclépens last-5 Elo change: -2.6; Stade Payerne last-5 Elo change: -10.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Sarraz-Eclépens | Stade Payerne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 15% | 46% |
| Defense | 62% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Sarraz-Eclépens | Stade Payerne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 9% | 23% | 17% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Draws | 45% | 23% | 33% | 15% | 33% | 24% |
| Loses | 45% | 54% | 50% | 54% | 33% | 44% |
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Stade PayerneWWLDWDLWLLLLWDWLDLLWDWLDL
League goals
| Metric | La Sarraz-Eclépens | Stade Payerne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 20 | 33 | 12 | 20 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 24 | 29 | 53 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Sarraz-Eclépens | Stade Payerne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 88% | 64% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 71% | 44% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 16% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 17% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Sarraz-Eclépens | Stade Payerne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Sarraz-Eclépens | Stade Payerne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Sarraz-Eclépens | Stade Payerne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-4 | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Sarraz-Eclépens | Stade Payerne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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