Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 19:15 •
Esp Stadium
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.77)
1.04 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.3% | 23.4% | 22.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Mendrisio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baden | 0 | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Baden | Mendrisio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 53% | 47% |
| Defense | 21% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Baden | Mendrisio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 56% | 44% | 57% | 18% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 27% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 44% | 39% | 43% | 55% | 50% |
Form: Baden: WWLWLLDWWWLWLDWLDL • Mendrisio: DLLWWLDLLWLLDLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Baden | Mendrisio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 18 | 40 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 16 | 18 | 34 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Baden | Mendrisio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 94% | 72% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 56% | 39% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 22% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 11% | 11% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Baden | Mendrisio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Baden | Mendrisio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Baden | Mendrisio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 1-4 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Baden | Mendrisio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 32% | 68% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Baden or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Baden = 1.76 (league 1.77), Mendrisio = 1.04 (league 1.55)
| Mendrisio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baden | 0 | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.3% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 22.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1