Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 •
ACUMAX-Arena
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.78)
1.92 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.7% | 19.7% | 31.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Baden | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dietikon | 0 | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Dietikon carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 81 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dietikon +8.5, Baden -8.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Dietikon
vs
Baden
Elo gapDietikon +81
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo3020.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3020.3
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Dietikon | Baden |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1533.1 | 1487.2 |
| Form Elo | 1537.6 | 1475.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1509.7 | 1500.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1556.2 | 1596.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1508.2 | 1416.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.5 | -8.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Dietikon last-5 Elo change: +8.5; Baden last-5 Elo change: -8.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dietikon | Baden |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dietikon | Baden | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 42% | 38% | 40% | 31% | 42% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 31% | 32% | 38% | 17% | 28% |
| Loses | 25% | 31% | 28% | 31% | 42% | 36% |
DietikonLLWDWWDWDLWWDWLDDLWLWWDDL
BadenWWLWLLDWWWLWLDWLDLDDLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Dietikon | Baden | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 19 | 46 | 29 | 21 | 50 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 19 | 18 | 37 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dietikon | Baden | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 64% | 88% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 28% | 32% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 20% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dietikon | Baden | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dietikon | Baden |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dietikon | Baden |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 0-2 | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dietikon | Baden |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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