Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 20:00 •
Estadio Leonel Placido
Expected Goals
0.16 (league 1.29)
1.50 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.8% | 23.9% | 71.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
28.4%
0 - 2
21.3%
0 - 0
19.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Moca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlántico | 0 | 19.0% | 28.4% | 21.3% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlántico | Moca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 42% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlántico | Moca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Atlántico: DLLLLW • Moca: WLWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Atlántico | Moca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlántico | Moca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlántico | Moca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlántico | Moca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlántico | Moca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlántico | Moca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 12% | 88% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 28.3% | 71.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Moca and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlántico = 0.16 (league 1.29), Moca = 1.50 (league 1.33)
| Moca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlántico | 0 | 19.0% | 28.4% | 21.3% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.8% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 71.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1