Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 20:00 •
Estadio Junior MejÃa
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.39)
0.93 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.8% | 37.4% | 48.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.5%
0 - 1
25.6%
0 - 2
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Vega Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jarabacoa | 0 | 27.5% | 25.6% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 13% | 27% |
| Defense | 47% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Vega Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 17% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 75% | 67% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Jarabacoa: LWDLLL • Vega Real: WLLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Vega Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jarabacoa | Vega Real | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Vega Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 10% | 90% |
| Total | 32.8% | 67.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vega Real and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jarabacoa = 0.36 (league 1.39), Vega Real = 0.93 (league 1.34)
| Vega Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jarabacoa | 0 | 27.5% | 25.6% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.8% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 48.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1