Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 20:00 •
Estadio Junior Mejía
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.39)
2.54 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.6% | 16.1% | 67.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.0%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 3
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlántico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jarabacoa | 0 | 3.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Atlántico |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 42% | 75% |
| Defense | 33% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Atlántico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 40% | 38% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 13% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 33% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Jarabacoa: LWDLLLWW • Atlántico: DLLLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Atlántico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jarabacoa | Atlántico | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 75% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 38% | 38% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Atlántico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Atlántico |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Atlántico |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jarabacoa | Atlántico |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 31.8% | 68.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlántico
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jarabacoa = 0.93 (league 1.39), Atlántico = 2.54 (league 1.34)
| Atlántico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jarabacoa | 0 | 3.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 67.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1