Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 20:00 •
Estadio de Fútbol Domingo Polonia
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.39)
0.11 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.1% | 20.0% | 2.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
28.0%
2 - 0
23.5%
0 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Vega Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Salcedo | 0 | 16.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Salcedo | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 42% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Salcedo | Vega Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 20% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 60% | 38% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 13% | 25% | 75% | 50% |
Form: Salcedo: WWDWDDWL • Vega Real: WLLDWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Salcedo | Vega Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Salcedo | Vega Real | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Salcedo | Vega Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Salcedo | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Salcedo | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-6 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Salcedo | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Salcedo or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Salcedo = 1.68 (league 1.39), Vega Real = 0.11 (league 1.34)
| Vega Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Salcedo | 0 | 16.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 2.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1