Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Junior Mejía
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.39) 2.96 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.4% 14.5% 65.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 3
8.1%
0 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Moca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarabacoa 0 1.6% 4.6% 6.8% 6.7% 5.0% 2.9%
1 1.9% 5.5% 8.2% 8.1% 6.0% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.3% 4.9% 4.9% 3.6% 2.1%
3 0.5% 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.9%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJarabacoaMoca
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack44%28%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jarabacoa Moca
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%40%30%0%60%30%
Draws40%0%20%60%20%40%
Loses40%60%50%40%20%30%

Form: Jarabacoa: LWDLLLWWDL • Moca: WLWLWDLDDD

League goals

Metric Jarabacoa Moca
HATHAT
GF total65112911
GF avg1.21.01.10.41.81.1
GA total115164711
GA avg2.21.01.60.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJarabacoaMoca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%70%80%
1.530%50%30%20%
2.510%20%10%10%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJarabacoaMoca
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score123303

Penalties

MetricJarabacoaMoca
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricJarabacoaMoca
Wins21
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3—1-3
Biggest losses0-42-00-13-1
Goals For2313
Goals Against4213

Model comparison

MetricJarabacoaMoca
Form64%36%
Att62%38%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h29%71%
Goals13%88%
Total40.5%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Moca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.59 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away1.57 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Marathonbet
No1.84 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jarabacoa = 1.20 (league 1.39), Moca = 2.96 (league 1.34)

Moca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarabacoa 0 1.6% 4.6% 6.8% 6.7% 5.0% 2.9%
1 1.9% 5.5% 8.2% 8.1% 6.0% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.3% 4.9% 4.9% 3.6% 2.1%
3 0.5% 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.9%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.4% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 65.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1