Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 22:00 •
Estadio Polideportivo Moca
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.39)
0.30 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.1% | 51.3% | 16.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
44.3%
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Vega Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moca | 0 | 44.3% | 13.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moca | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 0% |
| Attack | 26% | 16% |
| Defense | 63% | 37% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moca | Vega Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 27% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
| Draws | 60% | 33% | 45% | 40% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 40% | 17% | 27% | 40% | 83% | 64% |
Form: Moca: WLWLWDLDDDD • Vega Real: WLLDWDLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Moca | Vega Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moca | Vega Real | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 82% | 64% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moca | Vega Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moca | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moca | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moca | Vega Real |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 72.4% | 27.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Moca or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moca = 0.52 (league 1.39), Vega Real = 0.30 (league 1.34)
| Vega Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moca | 0 | 44.3% | 13.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 51.3% · Away win 16.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1