Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 22:00 •
Estadio Olímpico La Vega
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.30)
1.91 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 19.5% | 30.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlántico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vega Real | 0 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vega Real | Atlántico |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 13% |
| Attack | 73% | 64% |
| Defense | 18% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vega Real | Atlántico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 20% | 25% | 23% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 15% | 14% | 33% | 23% |
| Loses | 40% | 75% | 62% | 57% | 50% | 54% |
Form: Vega Real: WLLDWDLLLLLLW • Atlántico: DLLLLWWWDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Vega Real | Atlántico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vega Real | Atlántico | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 69% | 77% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 23% | 23% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vega Real | Atlántico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vega Real | Atlántico |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vega Real | Atlántico |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vega Real | Atlántico |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Vega Real or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vega Real = 2.36 (league 1.30), Atlántico = 1.91 (league 1.32)
| Atlántico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vega Real | 0 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 30.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1