Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Leonel Placido
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.26) 0.86 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 30.8% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Jarabacoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlántico 0 14.0% 12.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlánticoJarabacoa
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack43%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.60 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlántico Jarabacoa
HATHAT
Played78158816
Wins29%25%27%13%25%19%
Draws14%25%20%50%0%25%
Loses57%50%53%38%75%56%

Form: Atlántico: DLLLLWWWDDLLLWL • Jarabacoa: LWDLLLWWDLDLDLLL

League goals

Metric Atlántico Jarabacoa
HATHAT
GF total712197512
GF avg1.01.51.30.90.60.8
GA total131427151126
GA avg1.91.81.81.91.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlánticoJarabacoa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%87%50%81%
1.533%47%19%50%
2.520%27%6%25%
3.50%13%0%6%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlánticoJarabacoa
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score314358

Penalties

MetricAtlánticoJarabacoa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAtlánticoJarabacoa
Wins32
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-54-10-43-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against5443

Model comparison

MetricAtlánticoJarabacoa
Form75%25%
Att100%0%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h85%15%
Goals65%35%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Double chance : Atlántico or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlántico = 1.11 (league 1.26), Jarabacoa = 0.86 (league 1.33)

Jarabacoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlántico 0 14.0% 12.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1