Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 21:00 •
Estadio OlÃmpico La Vega
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.29)
2.05 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 21.3% | 46.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Salcedo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vega Real | 0 | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vega Real | Salcedo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 90% | 40% |
| Defense | 70% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vega Real | Salcedo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 29% | 78% | 25% | 53% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 12% | 11% | 50% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 59% | 11% | 25% | 18% |
Form: Vega Real: WLLDWDLLLLLLWLWWL • Salcedo: WWDWDDWLWWWWDWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Vega Real | Salcedo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 13 | 17 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vega Real | Salcedo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 65% | 76% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 53% | 47% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 18% | 24% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 12% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 12% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vega Real | Salcedo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vega Real | Salcedo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vega Real | Salcedo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vega Real | Salcedo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 61.0% | 39.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Vega Real or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vega Real = 1.61 (league 1.29), Salcedo = 2.05 (league 1.33)
| Salcedo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vega Real | 0 | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 46.2%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1