Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 12:00 • Changlimithang Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 2.41) 0.50 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 34.0% 17.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.4%
0 - 0
21.4%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Paro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thimphu City 0 21.4% 10.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.4% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThimphu CityParo
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense53%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)26 | 5.232 | 6.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Thimphu City Paro
HATHAT
Played69159817
Wins100%67%80%100%88%94%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%0%13%6%

Form: Thimphu City: WWWWLLWWWWLWWWW • Paro: WWWWWWWWWWWWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Thimphu City Paro
HATHAT
GF total252853482371
GF avg4.23.13.55.32.94.2
GA total213159514
GA avg0.31.41.01.00.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThimphu CityParo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%53%94%59%
1.580%27%88%24%
2.560%13%65%0%
3.533%7%35%0%
4.533%0%24%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThimphu CityParo
HATHAT
Clean sheets527347
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricThimphu CityParo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricThimphu CityParo
Wins414
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-01-1020-10-6
Biggest losses—4-2—2-0
Goals For710206
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricThimphu CityParo
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h15%85%
Goals28%72%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Paro and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.57 @ 1xBet
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away1.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.25 @ William Hill
No3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Thimphu City = 1.05 (league 2.41), Paro = 0.50 (league 1.75)

Paro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thimphu City 0 21.4% 10.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.4% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 17.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1