Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • The Dripping Pan
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.65) 1.40 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 18.9% 20.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
7.4%
3 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Welling United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lewes 0 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.3% 7.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLewesWelling United
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack40%30%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lewes Welling United
HATHAT
Played111021101020
Wins45%30%38%20%30%25%
Draws18%20%19%0%0%0%
Loses36%50%43%80%70%75%

Form: Lewes: LWWWWDLDLLLLWDWLLLDWW • Welling United: LLLWLLWLLLWLLLLLLLWW

League goals

Metric Lewes Welling United
HATHAT
GF total18112991423
GF avg1.61.11.40.91.41.2
GA total162440192544
GA avg1.52.41.91.92.52.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLewesWelling United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%86%70%100%
1.548%57%30%60%
2.519%33%10%35%
3.510%5%5%15%
4.50%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLewesWelling United
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score358606

Penalties

MetricLewesWelling United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLewesWelling United
Wins41
Draws10
Losses47

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-44-11-2
Biggest losses0-26-01-46-1
Goals For4442
Goals Against3646

Model comparison

MetricLewesWelling United
Form54%46%
Att57%43%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lewes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ Betano
Away3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Superbet
No2.44 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lewes = 2.42 (league 1.65), Welling United = 1.40 (league 1.50)

Welling United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lewes 0 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.3% 7.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 20.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1