Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Home Call Carpets Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.66) 2.79 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 16.8% 57.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
1 - 3
7.4%
2 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Aveley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgess Hill Town 0 1.3% 3.8% 5.2% 4.9% 3.4% 1.9%
1 2.0% 5.7% 8.0% 7.4% 5.2% 2.9%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.0% 5.6% 3.9% 2.2%
3 0.8% 2.2% 3.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgess Hill TownAveley
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack65%50%
Defense30%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgess Hill Town Aveley
HATHAT
Played9122110818
Wins44%42%43%30%63%44%
Draws22%33%29%50%38%44%
Loses33%25%29%20%0%11%

Form: Burgess Hill Town: WWDLLDLLDWWDLWWDDWWLW • Aveley: DWDLWDLDWWDWWWDWDD

League goals

Metric Burgess Hill Town Aveley
HATHAT
GF total162238211839
GF avg1.81.81.82.12.32.2
GA total162541161127
GA avg1.82.12.01.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgess Hill TownAveley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%94%72%
1.562%57%61%39%
2.524%43%44%28%
3.510%10%11%6%
4.50%0%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgess Hill TownAveley
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricBurgess Hill TownAveley
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricBurgess Hill TownAveley
Wins23
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-45-01-4
Biggest losses2-44-02-5—
Goals For4454
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricBurgess Hill TownAveley
Form53%47%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h88%13%
Goals67%33%
Total55.7%44.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Burgess Hill Town or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ William Hill
Away2.40 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgess Hill Town = 1.52 (league 1.66), Aveley = 2.79 (league 1.48)

Aveley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgess Hill Town 0 1.3% 3.8% 5.2% 4.9% 3.4% 1.9%
1 2.0% 5.7% 8.0% 7.4% 5.2% 2.9%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.0% 5.6% 3.9% 2.2%
3 0.8% 2.2% 3.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 57.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1