Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • Home Call Carpets Community Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.66) 1.56 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 18.9% 23.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
3 - 1
7.0%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lewes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgess Hill Town 0 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.5% 8.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.0% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgess Hill TownLewes
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack41%41%
Defense32%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgess Hill Town Lewes
HATHAT
Played111223121022
Wins36%42%39%50%30%41%
Draws18%33%26%17%20%18%
Loses45%25%35%33%50%41%

Form: Burgess Hill Town: WWDLLDLLDWWDLWWDDWWLWLL • Lewes: LWWWWDLDLLLLWDWLLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Burgess Hill Town Lewes
HATHAT
GF total192241191130
GF avg1.71.81.81.61.11.4
GA total232548162440
GA avg2.12.12.11.32.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgess Hill TownLewes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%87%64%82%
1.561%61%45%55%
2.522%43%18%32%
3.59%13%9%5%
4.50%4%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgess Hill TownLewes
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score123358

Penalties

MetricBurgess Hill TownLewes
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricBurgess Hill TownLewes
Wins24
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-43-01-4
Biggest losses2-54-00-26-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against5436

Model comparison

MetricBurgess Hill TownLewes
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total44.8%55.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lewes and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Superbet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.38 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Superbet
No2.41 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgess Hill Town = 2.46 (league 1.66), Lewes = 1.56 (league 1.48)

Lewes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgess Hill Town 0 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.5% 8.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.0% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 23.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1