Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Municipal Ivson Ferreira
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.72)
3.75 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | 8.9% | 67.6% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.6%
0 - 3
7.5%
1 - 4
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Guarany Alagoano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Miguelense | 0 | 0.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Miguelense | Guarany Alagoano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 100% |
| Attack | 47% | 60% |
| Defense | 53% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Miguelense | Guarany Alagoano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Miguelense: LWLWLL • Guarany Alagoano: WWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Miguelense | Guarany Alagoano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Miguelense | Guarany Alagoano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 100% | 17% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Miguelense | Guarany Alagoano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Miguelense | Guarany Alagoano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Miguelense | Guarany Alagoano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Miguelense | Guarany Alagoano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Guarany Alagoano and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Miguelense = 1.02 (league 1.72), Guarany Alagoano = 3.75 (league 1.00)
| Guarany Alagoano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Miguelense | 0 | 0.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.7% · Draw 8.9% · Away win 67.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1