Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Nuevo Mirador
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.29) 0.99 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 33.6% 41.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.4%
0 - 1
18.2%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Europa Fc
0 1 2 3 4 5
Algeciras 0 18.4% 18.2% 9.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.8% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlgecirasEuropa Fc
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack31%62%
Defense77%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Algeciras Europa Fc
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%67%33%50%
Draws33%33%33%33%33%33%
Loses33%33%33%0%33%17%

Form: Algeciras: LDWLWD • Europa Fc: WDDWLW

League goals

Metric Algeciras Europa Fc
HATHAT
GF total235549
GF avg0.71.00.81.71.31.5
GA total235246
GA avg0.71.00.80.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlgecirasEuropa Fc
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%83%67%
1.50%33%50%17%
2.50%0%17%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlgecirasEuropa Fc
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricAlgecirasEuropa Fc
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAlgecirasEuropa Fc
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-1—1-0
Goals For1123
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricAlgecirasEuropa Fc
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Europa Fc

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Algeciras = 0.70 (league 1.29), Europa Fc = 0.99 (league 0.92)

Europa Fc
0 1 2 3 4 5
Algeciras 0 18.4% 18.2% 9.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.8% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 41.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1