Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.35) 0.95 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.7% 30.9% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnastic 0 13.6% 13.0% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimnasticAlcorcon
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack67%42%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimnastic Alcorcon
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%33%33%33%
Draws0%33%17%67%33%50%
Loses33%33%33%0%33%17%

Form: Gimnastic: WDLLWW • Alcorcon: LWWDDD

League goals

Metric Gimnastic Alcorcon
HATHAT
GF total6410325
GF avg2.01.31.71.00.70.8
GA total448224
GA avg1.31.31.30.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimnasticAlcorcon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%50%67%
1.567%50%33%0%
2.517%17%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimnasticAlcorcon
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricGimnasticAlcorcon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGimnasticAlcorcon
Wins12
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-11-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricGimnasticAlcorcon
Form44%56%
Att62%38%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alcorcon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimnastic = 1.04 (league 1.35), Alcorcon = 0.95 (league 0.95)

Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnastic 0 13.6% 13.0% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.7% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 32.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1