Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Estadio Municipal de Marbella
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.33) 0.32 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.1% 29.5% 9.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.9%
0 - 0
20.3%
2 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Eldense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marbella 0 20.3% 6.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.9% 8.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarbellaEldense
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack23%46%
Defense69%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marbella Eldense
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%67%0%33%
Draws67%67%67%33%67%50%
Loses0%33%17%0%33%17%

Form: Marbella: WDDDDL • Eldense: DWDWLD

League goals

Metric Marbella Eldense
HATHAT
GF total415516
GF avg1.30.30.81.70.31.0
GA total325347
GA avg1.00.70.81.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarbellaEldense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%50%
1.517%17%17%33%
2.50%0%17%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarbellaEldense
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricMarbellaEldense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMarbellaEldense
Wins11
Draws41
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—1-0—
Biggest losses—2-1—3-0
Goals For2131
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricMarbellaEldense
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.3%47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Marbella or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marbella = 1.28 (league 1.33), Eldense = 0.32 (league 0.94)

Eldense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marbella 0 20.3% 6.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.9% 8.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 9.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1