Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.29) 0.99 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.6% 33.0% 39.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.1%
0 - 1
16.9%
1 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sabadell
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 17.1% 16.9% 8.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcorconSabadell
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack50%30%
Defense70%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcorcon Sabadell
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%25%33%29%
Draws67%25%43%75%67%71%
Loses0%25%14%0%0%0%

Form: Alcorcon: LWWDDDW • Sabadell: DDWDWDD

League goals

Metric Alcorcon Sabadell
HATHAT
GF total347145
GF avg1.01.01.00.31.30.7
GA total235033
GA avg0.70.80.70.01.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcorconSabadell
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%43%29%
1.543%0%29%14%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcorconSabadell
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricAlcorconSabadell
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlcorconSabadell
Wins21
Draws32
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-21-01-2
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For2212
Goals Against1102

Model comparison

MetricAlcorconSabadell
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total56.3%43.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alcorcon or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Dafabet
Draw2.95 @ Dafabet
Away3.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.43 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcorcon = 0.78 (league 1.29), Sabadell = 0.99 (league 0.92)

Sabadell
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcorcon 0 17.1% 16.9% 8.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 39.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1