Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 16:15 • Estadio Enrique Roca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.29) 0.61 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.9% 27.6% 16.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
13.5%
2 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ibiza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Murcia 0 13.5% 8.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 11.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 8.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MurciaIbiza
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack23%15%
Defense62%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Murcia Ibiza
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%0%14%33%25%29%
Draws67%25%43%33%25%29%
Loses0%75%43%33%50%43%

Form: Real Murcia: LWDDLDL • Ibiza: WWDDLLL

League goals

Metric Real Murcia Ibiza
HATHAT
GF total325336
GF avg1.00.50.71.00.80.9
GA total2574711
GA avg0.71.31.01.31.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MurciaIbiza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%57%100%
1.50%14%29%43%
2.50%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MurciaIbiza
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricReal MurciaIbiza
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricReal MurciaIbiza
Wins12
Draws22
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-11-2
Biggest losses—2-10-23-0
Goals For1122
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricReal MurciaIbiza
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Murcia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.06 @ Marathonbet
Away3.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Murcia = 1.40 (league 1.29), Ibiza = 0.61 (league 0.92)

Ibiza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Murcia 0 13.5% 8.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 11.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 8.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1