Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:15 • Pinilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.34) 0.37 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 42.5% 16.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.9%
1 - 0
24.6%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sevilla Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Teruel 0 32.9% 12.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 9.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTeruelSevilla Atletico
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack38%15%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Teruel Sevilla Atletico
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%0%29%25%0%14%
Draws50%67%57%25%67%43%
Loses0%33%14%50%33%43%

Form: Teruel: DLDDWWD • Sevilla Atletico: LDWLLDD

League goals

Metric Teruel Sevilla Atletico
HATHAT
GF total426224
GF avg1.00.70.90.50.70.6
GA total235336
GA avg0.51.00.70.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTeruelSevilla Atletico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%57%71%
1.514%14%0%14%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTeruelSevilla Atletico
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricTeruelSevilla Atletico
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTeruelSevilla Atletico
Wins21
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-0
Biggest losses2-11-21-0
Goals For2111
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricTeruelSevilla Atletico
Form64%36%
Att71%29%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Teruel or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.02 @ Marathonbet
Away4.08 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Teruel = 0.75 (league 1.34), Sevilla Atletico = 0.37 (league 0.96)

Sevilla Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Teruel 0 32.9% 12.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 9.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 42.5% · Away win 16.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1