Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:00 • Estadio Nuevo Mirador
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.33) 1.39 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 27.7% 55.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 0
13.6%
0 - 2
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Algeciras 0 13.6% 18.9% 13.1% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlgecirasAlcorcon
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack45%27%
Defense27%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Algeciras Alcorcon
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%25%50%38%
Draws25%25%25%50%25%38%
Loses50%50%50%25%25%25%

Form: Algeciras: LDWLWDLL • Alcorcon: LWWDDDWL

League goals

Metric Algeciras Alcorcon
HATHAT
GF total437347
GF avg1.00.80.90.81.00.9
GA total5510538
GA avg1.31.31.31.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlgecirasAlcorcon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%50%75%
1.513%50%38%13%
2.50%13%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlgecirasAlcorcon
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricAlgecirasAlcorcon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAlgecirasAlcorcon
Wins12
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-11-2
Biggest losses2-32-00-31-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against3231

Model comparison

MetricAlgecirasAlcorcon
Form40%60%
Att63%38%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.2%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alcorcon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Superbet
Away3.35 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Algeciras = 0.60 (league 1.33), Alcorcon = 1.39 (league 0.94)

Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Algeciras 0 13.6% 18.9% 13.1% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% Ā· Draw 27.7% Ā· Away win 55.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1