Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:15 • Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.30) 0.85 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.0% 26.2% 21.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Algeciras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eldense 0 9.6% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.2% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEldenseAlgeciras
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack63%63%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Eldense Algeciras
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%0%22%40%25%33%
Draws50%60%56%20%25%22%
Loses0%40%22%40%50%44%

Form: Eldense: DWDWLDLDD • Algeciras: LDWLWDLLW

League goals

Metric Eldense Algeciras
HATHAT
GF total628538
GF avg1.50.40.91.00.80.9
GA total46105510
GA avg1.01.21.11.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEldenseAlgeciras
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%78%56%
1.511%22%11%44%
2.511%22%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEldenseAlgeciras
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricEldenseAlgeciras
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricEldenseAlgeciras
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-00-1
Biggest losses—3-02-32-0
Goals For3121
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricEldenseAlgeciras
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Algeciras

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away4.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Eldense = 1.50 (league 1.30), Algeciras = 0.85 (league 0.94)

Algeciras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eldense 0 9.6% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.2% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 21.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1